United National Weather Team, Washington County, IA (2026)

10/25/2026

🚨 Tornado Warning 🚨

The National Weather Service has issued a Tornado Warning for South Central Quay County in East Central New Mexico until 4:00 PM MDT.

At 3:26 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was detected 10 miles south of Ragland, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Hazards:A tornado has been indicated by radar rotation.

Flying debris poses a serious danger to anyone caught without shelter. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles is expected, and trees may also be damaged.

Locations at risk include:Ragland, Mcalister, and Forrest.

Safety Actions:Seek shelter immediately in a sturdy building, preferably in a basement or an interior room away from windows. Avoid mobile homes, vehicles, and open areas. If outdoors, find the lowest point possible and protect your head and neck from flying debris.

Stay tuned to weather updates and alerts for further information.

🚨 UNWT 🚨

10/21/2026

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

A severe thunderstorm has been detected 6 miles northwest of Fernow Cabin, or 16 miles north of Sedona, moving north at 45 mph.

The storm is producing quarter-sized hail.

Radar has confirmed this activity.

Hail of this size can cause damage to vehicles, so take precautions if you are in the affected area.

Locations impacted include Fernow Cabin, Camp Navajo, Honanki Heritage Site, Red Rock-Secret Mountain Wilderness, Sycamore Canyon Wilderness, Parsons Spring, Sycamore Point, Secret Mountain Vista, Rogers Lake, and Sycamore Canyon.

If you are traveling along Interstate 40, the storm will affect areas between mile markers 180 and 183.

Camping and recreation areas such as Taylor Cabin Line Camp are also included in the impacted zone.

Stay indoors and away from windows during the storm, and avoid traveling if possible.

🚨 UNWT 🚨

10/21/2026

🚨 TORNADO WATCH ISSUED FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA 🚨

Public Safety Information:

A Tornado Watch has been issued for portions of northern and central Arizona, effective from 10:00 AM MST until 6:00 PM MST today, Wednesday, October 21, 2026. This alert means that conditions are favorable for the development of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms within the watch area. Residents in these areas should remain vigilant and prepared to act quickly if warnings are issued.

Key threats associated with this weather alert include:

- Tornadoes: A few tornadoes are possible, which could pose a significant threat to life and property. - Large Hail: Scattered hail events are likely, with isolated hailstones reaching up to 2.5 inches in diameter, capable of causing damage to vehicles, roofs, and vegetation. - Damaging Winds: Scattered wind gusts up to 70 mph could knock down trees, damage structures, and create hazardous conditions for travel.

Residents within the watch area—approximately 70 miles north and south of a line stretching from 95 miles west of Grand Canyon, AZ, to 45 miles east of Winslow, AZ—should take the following precautions:

1. Monitor Updates: Stay tuned to local news, weather radios, and official alerts for updates on warnings or changes to the forecast. 2. Prepare for Shelter: Identify the safest location in your home, such as a basement or interior room away from windows, in case a tornado warning is issued. 3. Secure Loose Items: Bring in or tie down outdoor furniture, decorations, or other objects that could become projectiles in high winds. 4. Plan for Power Outages: Charge electronic devices and keep flashlights and batteries accessible. 5. Avoid Travel: If possible, stay off the roads during the watch period, as conditions could deteriorate quickly.

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Meteorological Explanation:

This Tornado Watch is driven by a combination of atmospheric conditions conducive to severe weather development. A strong upper-level disturbance is moving into northern and central Arizona, interacting with a moist and unstable air mass.

Key factors contributing to the severe weather threat include:

1. Strong Vertical Wind Shear: Winds at different layers of the atmosphere are moving in different directions and speeds, which can enhance storm rotation and support the development of supercell thunderstorms. Supercells are the primary storm type associated with tornado formation.

2. Instability: Daytime heating and an influx of moisture from the southwest have created an unstable environment, allowing air parcels to rise rapidly and form intense thunderstorms. These storms are capable of producing large hail and damaging winds.

3. Dynamic Forcing: The upper-level disturbance provides lift and enhances storm development, while the mean storm motion vector (22035) indicates storms will move from southwest to northeast at approximately 35 knots (40 mph).

These conditions, combined, create the potential for severe weather, including tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, which are expected to persist throughout the afternoon and evening hours.

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Key Takeaway:

This is a potentially dangerous situation. Residents in northern and central Arizona should remain alert and prepared to take action if a Tornado Warning is issued. Stay tuned to reliable weather sources, and do not ignore the risks posed by this Tornado Watch.

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🚨 UNWT 🚨

10/10/2026

🚨 TORNADO WATCH FOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE, BIG BEND, AND FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA 🚨

The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center has issued Tornado Watch #678 for portions of the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, far southern Georgia, and adjacent coastal waters. This watch is in effect from 8:50 PM EDT Friday, October 9, 2026, through 6:00 AM EDT Saturday, October 10, 2026.

Primary Threats:

- A couple of tornadoes are possible, especially within the outer rain bands of Hurricane Isaias. - Severe thunderstorms may develop, with strong wind gusts up to 50 knots (approximately 58 mph) and small hail (up to 0.5 inches in diameter). - Extreme turbulence and hazardous flying conditions are possible for aviation in the affected region.

The tornado watch area extends approximately 60 miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north-northwest of Apalachicola, FL, to 40 miles north-northeast of Cross City, FL.

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# # # 🌪 Public Safety Information:

- Stay Alert: A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes to develop. Be prepared to act quickly if a Tornado Warning is issued. - Monitor Weather Updates: Keep a NOAA Weather Radio, smartphone, or other alert system nearby to receive up-to-date information. - Have a Plan: Know where to go for shelter in the event of a tornado. A basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building is the safest location. Avoid mobile homes and vehicles. - Secure Outdoor Items: Remove or tie down loose objects to prevent them from becoming dangerous projectiles in high winds. - Be Vigilant: Stay indoors and avoid traveling unless absolutely necessary, especially in areas prone to flooding or downed trees.

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# # # 🌩 Meteorological Explanation:

This Tornado Watch has been issued due to the outer rain bands of Hurricane Isaias, which is currently impacting the region. Hurricanes and tropical systems often bring an increased risk of tornadoes, particularly in their northeast quadrant.

As these rain bands spiral outward from the storm's center, they interact with the strong low-level wind shear generated by the hurricane's circulation. This wind shear, combined with the warm, moist air being drawn in from the Gulf of Mexico, creates an environment that is conducive to the development of rotating supercells capable of producing tornadoes.

The maximum storm tops are reaching 45,000 feet, indicating the presence of strong updrafts capable of sustaining severe thunderstorms. The mean storm motion vector of 19040 indicates that storms are generally moving from the south-southwest at approximately 40 knots (46 mph), so any tornadoes that develop could move quickly, leaving little time to react.

This Tornado Watch also includes a portion of the coastal waters, where waterspouts are possible. These waterspouts can come ashore as tornadoes, posing an additional hazard to coastal communities.

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Stay vigilant and prioritize your safety by monitoring local weather updates and heeding all warnings issued by the National Weather Service.

🚨 UNWT 🚨

10/09/2026

🚨 Extreme Wind Warning for Southern Okaloosa, Southern Santa Rosa, and Southeastern Escambia Counties, FL 🚨

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued an Extreme Wind Warning for portions of northwestern Florida, including Southern Okaloosa County, Southern Santa Rosa County, and Southeastern Escambia County. This warning is in effect until 8:45 PM CDT.

At 5:44 PM CDT, Doppler radar and hurricane reconnaissance aircraft detected extreme winds associated with the eyewall of Hurricane Isaias moving onshore. These winds are being recorded along a line extending from 18 miles south of Pensacola Beach to 11 miles south of Mary Esther to 17 miles south of Santa Rosa Beach, moving north at 15 mph.

This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Winds in the eyewall of a hurricane can exceed 100 to 140 mph, causing devastating damage to homes, trees, and infrastructure. Residents in the impacted areas must take immediate action to protect life and property.

Impacted locations include:- Pensacola- Ferry Pass- Brent- West Pensacola- Wright- Fort Walton Beach- Ensley- Warrington- Niceville- Destin- Eglin Air Force Base (AFB)- Pace- Milton- Valparaiso- Gulf Breeze- Goulding- Mary Esther- Bagdad- Ocean City- Lake Lorraine

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Public Safety Information:- Seek shelter immediately. Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building, away from windows and doors. Use mattresses, blankets, or a helmet to protect yourself from flying debris.- Do not go outside. Flying debris and falling trees pose a significant threat to life. - Avoid mobile homes or structures that cannot withstand high winds. If you are in such a structure, seek sturdier shelter immediately.- Stay off the roads. High winds can overturn vehicles and block roads with debris, making travel extremely hazardous.- Stay informed. Monitor your NOAA Weather Radio, local news, or emergency alerts for updates and instructions.

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Meteorological Explanation:This Extreme Wind Warning has been issued due to the approach of the eyewall of Hurricane Isaias. The eyewall is the region surrounding the eye of the hurricane, characterized by the most intense winds and torrential rainfall.

Current observations indicate that the hurricane is moving north at 15 mph, bringing sustained winds of extreme intensity to the impacted areas. This movement signifies that the southern portions of Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Escambia counties will experience prolonged periods of destructive winds before the eye passes.

The presence of reconnaissance aircraft confirms the accuracy of wind speeds within the eyewall, which are capable of causing catastrophic damage. The slow forward motion of the storm at 15 mph means that these conditions may persist for several hours, significantly increasing the risk of structural damage, power outages, and fallen trees.

Residents in the warning area should remain prepared for a prolonged period of dangerous weather conditions and ensure they are following all safety protocols. After the eyewall passes, there may be a brief lull in the storm as the eye moves overhead, but this will quickly be followed by another round of damaging winds as the backside of the storm passes.

🚨 UNWT 🚨

10/09/2026

🚨 Extreme Wind Warning for Southwestern Walton County, Florida 🚨

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued an Extreme Wind Warning for Southwestern Walton County in the Florida Panhandle. This warning is in effect until 8:45 PM CDT.

At 5:44 PM CDT, Doppler radar detected extreme winds associated with the eyewall of Hurricane Isaias moving onshore approximately 18 miles south of Destin. These winds are traveling northward at a speed of 15 mph.

This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Residents in the warned area should take immediate action to protect life and property.

What You Should Do: - Seek shelter immediately in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Stay away from windows and doors. - Do not venture outside under any circumstances, as flying debris and high winds can be deadly. - If you are in a mobile home or temporary structure, evacuate immediately to a stronger shelter. Mobile homes are not safe during extreme wind events. - Keep communication devices charged and operational to receive updates from emergency officials.

This warning indicates that winds of 115 mph or greater are possible, which can cause catastrophic damage to buildings, uproot trees, and result in widespread power outages. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local media, or trusted weather apps for further updates.

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Meteorological Explanation:

An Extreme Wind Warning is issued when sustained winds of 115 mph or higher are expected due to a hurricane's eyewall passing through the area. The eyewall is the most intense part of a hurricane, where the strongest winds and heaviest rain are concentrated.

In this case, Hurricane Isaias is making landfall in the Florida Panhandle, with its eyewall beginning to impact Walton County. The storm’s forward movement at 15 mph will prolong the exposure to extreme conditions in the warned area.

The intense winds are the result of the hurricane's low central pressure and the tight pressure gradient near the center of the storm. As the eyewall moves onshore, friction between the wind and land surface may slightly reduce wind speeds but will also enhance turbulence, making conditions even more dangerous.

Residents should prepare for sustained hurricane-force winds and gusts that can exceed the sustained wind speeds. This level of wind is capable of causing significant structural damage, particularly to poorly constructed buildings, and can lead to prolonged power outages due to downed power lines and trees.

Stay vigilant and take all necessary precautions as this situation unfolds.

🚨 UNWT 🚨

10/09/2026

Hurricane Isaias expected to maintain major hurricane status. Please complete any thing you need to do outside of shelter. Hurricane Isaias Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092026
200 PM CDT Fri Oct 09 2026
..2 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE.....TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO SPREAD ONSHORE ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...

The estimated minimum pressure based on the latest data from a NOAA
Hurricane Hunter Aircraft is 959 mb (28.32 inches).

A wind gust to 43 mph (69 km/h) was recently reported at
Apalachicola, Florida.

SUMMARY OF 200 PM CDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 87.1W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM S OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES

10/09/2026

# # # 🚨 TORNADO WATCH 677: FAR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA, FLORIDA PANHANDLE & BIG BEND, FAR SOUTHWEST GEORGIA, AND COASTAL WATERS 🚨

The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center has issued Tornado Watch #677, which is in effect from 1:20 PM EDT until 9:00 PM EDT on Friday, October 9, 2026.

This Tornado Watch covers portions of Far Southeast Alabama, the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, Far Southwest Georgia, and surrounding Coastal Waters.

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# # # # Primary Threats: - A few tornadoes are likely, especially within convective bands associated with Hurricane Isaias. - Severe thunderstorms may accompany these tornadoes, bringing hail up to 0.5 inches in diameter and damaging wind gusts up to 50 knots (approximately 58 mph). - Hazardous aviation conditions are expected, including extreme turbulence and cumulonimbus cloud tops reaching up to 55,000 feet.

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# # # # Meteorological Summary:

This Tornado Watch is closely tied to Hurricane Isaias, which is moving northward and drawing a moist maritime tropical airmass inland.

The storm system is producing convective rain bands, which are expected to continue propagating from south to north through the afternoon and early evening.

These convective bands contain embedded rotating thunderstorms, or mesocyclones, which have the potential to spawn tornadoes.

The atmospheric environment in this region is highly conducive to tornado formation due to: 1. High low-level wind shear resulting from the strong inflow of moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. 2. Abundant atmospheric moisture, creating instability that fuels strong thunderstorms. 3. The interaction of the hurricane's broader circulation with local weather features, enhancing the likelihood of rotation within cells.

The area of concern extends about 50 miles north and south of a line from Crestview, FL, to Cross City, FL, with the highest risk focused near the immediate path of the convective bands.

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# # # # Public Safety Recommendations:

1. Stay Weather-Aware: Monitor local news outlets, NOAA Weather Radio, or weather apps for updates, as Tornado Warnings may be issued rapidly.

2. Have a Shelter Plan: Know where your safe shelter is in case a Tornado Warning is issued. This should ideally be an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building, away from windows.

3. Prepare Emergency Supplies: Keep flashlights, batteries, a weather radio, and essential items (e.g., medications, water) within reach.

4. Avoid Outdoor Activities: Be prepared to seek shelter immediately if threatening weather approaches.

5. Boaters in Coastal Waters: Seek a safe harbor immediately as dangerous conditions with high winds, rough seas, and possible waterspouts are expected.

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This Tornado Watch is a precautionary measure, meaning conditions are favorable for tornado development, but a tornado is not yet confirmed. If a Tornado Warning is issued, it means a tornado has been spotted or indicated by radar, and immediate action is required.

Stay vigilant, and take all warnings seriously.

🚨 UNWT 🚨

10/07/2026

Public Safety Information: Why These Waves Are Dangerous

Hurricane Isaias is creating an extremely hazardous situation in the Gulf of Mexico. Waves as high as 50 to 70 feet are forecast, which is life-threatening for anyone on or near the water. These waves are the result of the hurricane's powerful winds transferring energy into the ocean, creating massive swells. This is not just a risk to large vessels such as cruise ships and oil tankers, but also to offshore oil rigs and any smaller craft that may be in the area.

Why This Is Dangerous:1. High Waves Are Deadly: Waves of this size can capsize large ships, overwhelm their ability to steer, and cause catastrophic damage. Smaller vessels stand no chance against waves of this magnitude.2. Strong Currents and Wave Energy: The energy in waves this large can erode coastlines, damage port infrastructure, and create strong rip currents far from the hurricane's center.3. Hazards to Offshore Workers: Oil rigs and platforms are not designed to withstand direct impacts from waves of this scale. Evacuations of personnel are critical to prevent loss of life.

What You Should Do:- Avoid the Gulf Waters: Recreational boaters and fishermen should stay out of the Gulf until the hurricane has passed and conditions have calmed.- Stay Updated: If you are traveling by sea or working offshore, follow updates from the National Weather Service and maritime safety organizations.- Prepare for Impacts: Coastal communities near the Gulf should monitor the situation for secondary effects, such as coastal flooding and rip currents.

--- Meteorological Explanation: How Hurricane Isaias Is Producing These Massive Waves

The towering waves in the Gulf of Mexico are being driven by the intense dynamics of Hurricane Isaias, a powerful tropical cyclone. Here's a detailed breakdown of the meteorology behind these dangerous conditions:

1. Wind-Wave Generation: - Hurricanes are essentially massive engines fueled by warm ocean water. In Isaias's case, sustained winds of 100+ mph are whipping across the Gulf's surface, transferring energy into the water. - The stronger and more persistent the wind, the larger the waves it generates. Waves of 50–70 feet are uncommon but can occur in the most severe hurricanes when wind speeds and fetch (the distance over which wind blows uninterrupted) are both high.

2. Wave Growth and Swell Propagation: - As the hurricane progresses, it creates not just steep, short-period waves near the storm’s core, but also long-period swells. These swells can travel hundreds of miles and impact areas far from the hurricane’s immediate vicinity. - The size of the waves depends on the storm's intensity, forward motion, and the size of the wind field. Isaias is exhibiting conditions conducive to extreme wave heights.

3. Constructive Interference: - In some cases, smaller waves combine into much larger ones, a phenomenon known as constructive interference. This can lead to rogue waves that exceed the forecasted height, making conditions even more dangerous.

4. Storm Surge and Coastal Impacts: - While the main focus here is offshore, these waves can also amplify the storm surge along the Gulf Coast. The surge is a dome of water pushed toward land by the hurricane's winds, and large waves can ride on top of this surge, increasing the risk of coastal flooding.

The Gulf of Mexico is currently an extremely dangerous environment due to Hurricane Isaias. These 50–70 foot waves are a direct result of the hurricane's intense wind speeds and energy transfer to the ocean. All maritime activities in the Gulf should cease immediately, and offshore workers should evacuate as a precaution. Coastal residents should remain alert for possible secondary impacts like coastal flooding and strong rip currents. Always follow official warnings and evacuation orders to stay safe.-United National Weather Team

United National Weather Team

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