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No Apology, VA Meteorology

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No Apology, VA Meteorology

This page provides forecasts regarding weather events impacting VA.

For additional insights, including early forecast thoughts + more detailed analysis:

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10/31/2026

Don't forget to turn your clocks back tonight!

Today (Saturday):
Sunrise: 7:40 AM | Sunset: 6:16 PM

Tomorrow (Sunday):
Sunrise: 6:42 AM | Sunset: 5:15 PM

An hour earlier on the clock for both sunrise and sunset starting tomorrow! We'll continue to lose daylight until the winter solstice on December 21st.

10/28/2026

Who remembers snow-tober in 2011?

Fifteen years ago (October 28–29, 2011), an early-season nor’easter brought widespread accumulating snow to parts of northern Virginia and the entire Shenandoah Valley. Friday afternoon rain changed over to heavy, wet snow by evening. Harrisonburg ended up with 5.0” while some higher elevations along Skyline Drive picked up as much as 9.0”. Hard to believe we only added a couple more inches the rest of that winter.

10/28/2026

The east remains bone dry. Harrisonburg hasn’t seen measurable rain since October 17th and it looks like we’ll extend that to 14+ days before finally seeing some rain next week.

It’s a good thing much of western Virginia snapped out of the drought with a wet late September and early October or we might have been in for a pretty active fall mountain wildfire season.

10/25/2026

Looks like we’re going to end October on a quiet note with no rain through at least Saturday. Enjoy the last week of “extended” evening light before we turn the clocks back an hour next weekend!

Image: 18z gfs total precipitation through next Sunday 2am

10/20/2026

With this extended stretch of nice weather, friendly reminder that sunset is currently around 6:30pm. Next Sunday, the time change pushes sunset back to around 5:15pm. Enjoy the extra evening light while you can!

10/20/2026

Pretty neat visible satellite imagery this afternoon. There isn't a cloud in the sky across Virginia as Canadian high pressure nudges in. Meanwhile, a pretty healthy-looking nor'easter is drifting offshore. It's far enough away to keep the showers offshore but it's still producing some moderate tidal and coastal flooding along the coast.

10/19/2026

We’re in for a very quiet (perhaps boring) next 7 days with absolutely no signs of precipitation as back-to-back Canadian highs slide overhead. Some of the longer-range guidance suggests we might not see rain again until around the turn of the month.

Image: 12z euro total rainfall forecast the next 7 days

10/18/2026

First frost of the season here at my location in Elkton with temps dipping to 32 degrees. There was even a few pockets of upper 20s across some of the typically colder spots.

10/17/2026

Another look at the first mountain snows of the season this morning! Taken at Snowcreek Mountain Sports in Snowshoe by Cory Payne.

10/17/2026

The first snow flakes of the season are flying up at Snowshoe this morning!

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