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12/05/2016

Of the "Islamic state": the full story

In the wake of the emergence of the organization of the Islamic state in Iraq, necessary to spread in Syria, adding the word "sham" to his name.
Many in the West may affect the use of manual "IsIs" "Isis" in English, as the letter "S" the latter referring to Syria or the Levant, but the US administration chose the word "ISIL", as the letter L indicates "," the latter to the Levant in English.
The regulation referred to in Arabic as the "Daash", it uses the term itself sometimes in English, and became a fashionable term recounted by tongues of many Arabs, but this title is anathema to the organization itself, because it believes that would degrade.
Despite the fact that the word Daash have no meaning in the Arabic language, but it is a word with an un-signed, and that state agents Westerners and Americans deliberately used a lot of times.
After the expansion of state regulation of the annexation of more land and increase their aspirations, skip regulation geographical area and called himself the "Islamic state." However, much of the world refused to refer to it this name for political reasons, fearing that it lends legitimacy of the dye.
Gunman continued to state regulation in the city of Raqqa in Syria
The British Broadcasting Corporation "BBC" In general, I decided to call it in the first reference in the article "what is known" or "so-called" organized "Islamic state", then the "Islamic state" in the rest of the article.
Joulani was slit stick obedience, and renewed the oath of allegiance to global leadership of al-Qaeda, led by Ayman al-Zawahiri, the successor to bin Laden after he was killed in 2011. The al-Zawahiri, al-Baghdadi was ordered to be back again as an organization the Islamic State in Iraq and leave him Front victory, to become al Qaeda's wing in Syria obeys about them alone.
But Baghdadi introduce orders from headquarters.
Towards the end of 2013, intensified the dispute between the organization of the Islamic state and the Front victory, and hundreds have been killed in violent clashes between the two teams, managed evacuated victory and its allies front of the Syrian factions opposed to in the end is directed by the organization of the Islamic state of the bulk of the territory of northwest Syria.
But the organization of the Islamic state dominated the tenderness, the capital city of Raqqa province in the northeast, and made it his capital. He moved a lot of foreign jihadists who had fought in the ranks of the Front victory to the organization of the Islamic state, because they see more ruggedness and tougher for the victory. At the beginning of 2014, discharged from the al-Qaeda organization Islamic state officially.
The liberation of the organization of the Islamic State of restrictions that had enjoyed with the group parent. However, he lost a lot of land, and he was trying to Akzm to anger. And almost the main motto, "survive."
Luck has smiled to organize again, as completely the situation for the Mujahideen in Iraq appeared. After the departure of the Americans, at the end of 2011, caught a spark revolution in Sunni areas again, Zkt Jdhutha sectarian policies of the Shiite Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki. I felt the year they are marginalized and persecuted.
When the "Islamic state" decided to move, it did not face any difficulties to what befell the support. But in fact, the organization did not leave Iraq, but he was working in the rough. When swept through state regulation of towns and villages Sunni quickly sparked confusion, in June 2014, came out sleeper cells of the Mujahideen and the Salafi militants who were followers of Saddam Hussein in the past, and other sympathizers of Mkanmanm and helped them to extend their influence.
After the seizure of Mosul, he began organizing the Islamic State enters smoothly into a new phase. It is no longer a secret state organization a terrorist group, it has become, while inadvertently, a jihadist army does not threaten the Iraqi state, but is challenging the entire world.
The most significant change in the regulatory milestones, in the Declaration of the "Islamic state" in the June 29, to replace all the forms taken by the organization, and establish a "caliphate" that. A few days later, he appeared Caliph Ibrahim, better known as Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, visible surprise in Mosul on the platform of Nur al-Din mosque great historical Negro, a history with the struggle against the Crusaders. He called on Muslims around the world to alert and fighting in the ranks.
And to declare the regulation of succession and the use of the comprehensive name "Islamic state", it became clear that he was mindful of the goals far beyond Syria and Iraq. It has become aims to achieve global goals.
Declaration of succession was of great importance and there were reverberations in the Muslim world. Although the succession remains the major goal is that bin Laden and other al Qaeda leaders Tjunboha fear of failure. Now, al-Baghdadi took advantage of a trump card to outperform the parent group, paving the way for the organization of the state to compete with peer-Qaeda compete for the leadership of the global jihad.
Hence, the inauguration of Khalifa al-Baghdadi, the Islamic state carries the aspiration exceptional.
Most scientists believe the Islamic religious authorities, not to mention the Arab and Muslim leaders, that the claims of the leader of the ultra-violent faction is not no no validity whatsoever, and calls for urgent reason to fall into the arms of the new caliphate. However, the succession took place in the consciousness of the Millennial Generation titillate emotions Islamists dreamers and some militant groups that agree with him intellectually abroad.
Adopted a regulation Mnjha organized in the destruction of archaeological and cultural heritage in Syria and Iraq
Four months after the announcement of succession, was the first to join its ranks a group of militants in Libya announced the pledge of allegiance and loyalty to Baghdadi, it followed one month later Ansar Jerusalem jihadist in the Sinai Peninsula in Egypt. It pushed into the arms of the organization of the Islamic state in Africa in March / March 2015 announcement by Boko Haram in Nigeria allegiance and loyalty. It did not take a year until it became to organize the "Islamic state" branches or wings in 11 countries, although the territory controlled by only found in just five countries, including Iraq and Syria.
In these two key countries, al-Baghdadi and his followers began the implementation of the state project on the ground, the application of the violent Islamic rule outlook.
To the outside world, which can not be accessed under the "Islamic state" areas, he was shocked and panicking because of severe systematic demolition of heritage sites of ancient archaeological and cultural.
And destroyed some of the most famous and popular sites, including the Temple of Baal and even boasts tattoos in the city of Palmyra in Syria, and the urban cities of Nimrud and Alochoretan in Iraq.
Assault not only limited to the famous archaeological sites, but also destroyed the ancient churches and monasteries, and Shiite mosques and tombs, and all that captures images of people of any kind, and even removed the inscriptions inscriptions Sunni mosques.
Barely a month to seize Mosul, until the demolition organizing the Islamic state to blow up the shrine of Imam Din Aoun, who built back to the thirteenth century, teams have withstood the invasion of the Mongols.
All this is perfectly consistent with the organization of hard-line state in the application of Islam approach, whereby Faihrmon imaging types and building shrines on the grounds that it is reverence for God, and all that was built by non-Muslims is nothing but a pagan effects.
This is the same approach is applicable in Saudi Arabia, Vidvin kings and princes to this day in graves without evidence.
There is no doubt, that the organization of the Islamic State, published videos on the Internet showing the acts of armed men seen by the world view of vandalism of cultural heritage crimes, was intended to terrorize the world. In this sense, this business is the cultural equivalent of cutting aid workers headers.
There is a practical side and profitably to organize an attack on the Islamic state's cultural heritage, as Muslims House issued capital of the state organization, writing paper permissions for the looting of archaeological sites, and gets a percentage of the profits.
But the tip of the iceberg, it has put the organization of the Islamic state complex structure of governance and oversight, since the consolidated organization under his nose in the territory under his control, enabled him to penetrate every aspect of people's lives the same way you were working out of Iraqi intelligence under Saddam Hussein.
And inferred from the documents obtained and published by the German magazine Der Spiegel last year, the role of some former Baath party members in the administration of state regulation and CSG in a super organization and coordination, with the award of a great deal of attention to the intelligence and security.
I realize the Sunni population areas, such as Mosul and Fallujah in Iraq, and tenderness in Syria, that the organization of the Islamic State of undercover agents, they know little about and great for each person each, since they moved to their land and took control of it in 2014.
At the checkpoints, gunmen regulation of identity cards saved to the database checks on portable computers, iPads they received from government agencies or personnel records.
It was incumbent on the former members of the security forces to go to a private mosques to announce "repentance," and hand over their weapons, and then receive a paper stating amnesty.
He said one of Mosul's population, have fled from there after one year: "At first, all they did was they changed their imams and people who came adopt the same views."
He continued: "But they have consolidated their grip after that, is no longer allowed for women is veiled to go out without a veil first and then unveiled later. Also ordered men to grow beards and wear shorts, and banned cigarettes and hookah, music, cafes, and then followed by a decision prohibiting watching TV and using cell phones. scouring calculation compounds (Arts cops) streets looking for violators. "
And lists a Fallujah residents Chronicle story of a taxi driver less young in middle age do not wear the hijab, and then were stopped by an inspection organization Islamic State points, and gave the girl veils and then left go, but the driver was sent to an Islamic court and sentenced to two months and save part of the Qur'an, repeat with the punishment that did not complete the save 0.0He said residents of Fallujah: "They have the courts by judges and officials took the records and files, and no specific penalties for each crime, because it does not administered randomly. Valzenah stoned to death, thieves cut off their hands, and carried out the death sentence homosexuals throwing them from high buildings. And executed informers shot shot, either prisoners of Shiite militias cut off their heads. "
And governs the organization of the Islamic State control, through its affiliated departments, all walks of life, including finance, agriculture, education, transportation, health and social care facilities.
The revised curriculum comprehensive amendment to conform with the teachings and beliefs of the organization of the Islamic state, as re-writing of history and all the pictures were removed from the textbooks, is no longer the place of English in the curriculum.
Mosul residents said: "The only thing you can say, is that there is no corruption, never, no mediation, they are confident that they are on the right path."
A recent story reveals a lot about the organization of the Islamic state and the ways that followed.
While the Iraqi security forces creeps toward Ramadi surrounding land, at the beginning of this year, civilians were fleeing the battle, as well as the organization of Islamic fighters were fleeing the country after their defeat them.
Two women rushed to Azta fled from the battlefield, to the police checkpoint.
When waved them to the police to give them safety, one of them suddenly turned towards the police, and pointed to the other, saying: "This is not a woman, it is one of the princes of the organization of the Islamic state."
The police investigated the matter, and it turns out it honest, it was the other woman not only a man, shaved, and put powders Accessories wore women's uniforms. It turns out that this man tops the list of princes organize the Islamic state wanted to justice.
This woman said to the police, "when he arrived at the organization of the Islamic state, the prince killed my husband, who was a policeman, and he raped me, then Atakzna his wife. Has endured to stay with him with during this time, so the effects of my husband and my honor. So, Astdrjtah to shave and put toiletries, then he informed the police about. "
After the militants seized large swaths of Iraqi territory following a sweeping offensive launched in June 2014, it was expected to calm down to consolidate their gains.
However, state regulation was the fish of the shark, which had stopped moving die on the spot, scarcely had stopped until he began a new series of provocations and reprisals, was expected to put it in confrontation with the superpowers in the world.
Rang the attack by the organization of the Islamic state for fear of the alarm already approaching Baghdad, prompting the Americans to the expertise of hundreds of military advisers and trainers to learn how to help the Iraqi army.
After just two months, in the wake of the attack by state regulation on the Kurdish territory in the north, the United States launched air strikes in defense of the Kurdish capital of Erbil, and help stop the genocide of the Yezidis. Then she joined 14 countries later of the air campaign.
Ten days later, cut the organization of the Islamic State James Foley's head and others after him, in line with the doctrine of the brutal deterrent for punishment and torture and provocation. But the most horrific atrocities occurred a few months later, when the burning of the Jordanian pilot Maaz Kasasbeh who shot down alive. It was a deliberate intimidation.
And it expanded the military campaign led by the United States to extend to Syria in September / September 2014 after he laid siege to the organization of the Islamic state town of Kobani (Ain Arab) under the control of the Kurds on the Turkish border.
There are air strikes changed the course of events of the Alliance, as the organization of the Islamic state has lost hundreds of fighters who were killed in Kobani and other places. And it began to organize the state calls for further reprisals, and spread his call on a large scale.
Since the declaration of succession until the beginning of 2016, there were an estimated 70 terrorist attack militants Nfzhm state regulation or sympathizers in 20 countries around the world, from California to Sydney, estimated the death toll at 1200 victim. The attacks bore the same message of punishment and deterrence, provocation to cut off the heads of hostages, along with demonstrating the influence of the organization of a global Islamic state.
Relatives of Russian plane that was shot down over the Sinai victims and the adoption of state organization responsible for targeting At the same time, perform the state regulation of the doctrine of the militants, which requires distracting the enemy torched in separate locations until squander its resources in search of security. And it sees the organization of the Islamic state that the enemy is anyone who join the Islamic State. The world is divided into the state of Islam and the state of disbelief.
Among the most prominent atrocities committed by the organization and Ovdhaa he was a Russian plane dropped the Sinai in October 31 / October, followed by attacks in Paris November 13 / November second, provocative Russia and France to intensify air Garathma targets organize an Islamic state in Syria.
Are you mad organize an Islamic state? It seemed that he was determined to defy the whole world. He was pushing the Americans, Russians and many other countries impetus to confront it. Although he does not have fighters under his command, only 40 thousand fighters, according to the organization's novel, while other estimates suggest that the number of fighters is less than half that number.
Do you really will be able to challenge the global forces and escape from the consequences of confrontation? Will President Barack Obama will fulfill his promise that "weakens the (state regulation) and then Adhrh eventually?".
Showdown
Glutinous magazine, issued in English
If there is nothing to suggest that the challenge of state regulation in a manner leading the world to the brink of the abyss, it already as well.
While the magazine has issued its first regulation over the Internet, which served as the main tool for the review of the strengths and recruitment, after one month of the "Caliphate" Declaration, did not choose the name (glutinous) coincidence.
According glutinous, a small town north of Aleppo, in an interview with the Prophet, refers to a time that precedes the end of the world according to the beliefs of state regulation marks.
It begins each issue of the glutinous quote from Abu Musab al-Zarqawi: "Here are the spark may Angdan in Iraq and dust will be greater, God willing, even burn the crusader army in the glutinous."
The idea of participating in this epic major final to achieve martyrdom for the sake of God and to win paradise, is one of the ideas that sends fervor in the hearts of those who care about the invitation to organize the Islamic call to jihad.
This explains why the organization attracts more and more recruits who are not indifferent to blow themselves up in suicide attacks, the organization calls "martyrdom operations."
Hundreds have been killed in this way, and these processes occur almost daily.
This is one of the elements that make it harder to fight the organization of the Islamic state.
Suicide bombers and state regulation
Delighted Barzani, head of security and intelligence in the Kurdish government in northern Iraq lists, a suicide bomber wounded story of disappointment and frustration when his attempt failed to blow himself up and yelled at his captors, "I was just 10 minutes away from the company of the Prophet Muhammad."
He says Barzani "think they are winners, whether they killed or killed. If they killed, they won the battle, and if killed win paradise. It is difficult to prevent people who think this way of attack you. So, the only way to defeat them is to root them out."
Perhaps for the first time in military history, since the units Kamikaze Japanese private in World War II, the organization of the Islamic State suicide bombers used, not only in the big terrorist attacks remarkable attention being waged between now and then, but as one of the usual military tactics used on the battlefield.
Most of the state regulation of attacks and begin approaching car or truck bomb driven by a suicide bomber from the target, in preparation for the entry of militants. For this reason, he called the "martyrdom seekers", "air force" of the organization, because they are doing the same role played by the Air Force.
What makes the organization ungainly, it is a combat force is much stronger than just a handful of fanatics rampaging eager to blow themselves up. And thanks to Saddam Hussein.
Kurdish Peshmerga forces on their way to Mosul Dam
He says a global intelligence official, "The intelligence officers and former army during the rule of Saddam Hussein, particularly men of the Republican Guard, are the backbone of the organization of the Islamic state. Understanding adept in the transfer of persons belonging to them from one place to another, and re-provide them with logistics and so on. In fact, they are more the efficiency and effectiveness of the Iraqi army, all this from the management of ex-Iraqi army officers, because of their long experience in this field. "
He adds delighted Barzani "soldiers of this organization enjoys a high skill. They use artillery, armored vehicles and heavy equipment, and so forth. And proficient in its use. They have the officers familiar with traditional war and they know how to plan and how to attack and defend. The subsidiaries of regulation forces managed a level not less than the level of any conventional forces highly organized. Without the help of these officers for the organization of the Islamic state was simply a terrorist organization. "
It did not organize the Islamic state to achieve this success without entering into partnership with members of the former Baath Party, which has its roots to the beginning of the arrival of al-Zarqawi to Iraq.
But this does not mean that his fighters are invincible on the battlefield, he confronted them with the Kurds in the north-eastern Syria without help from the outside over a year ago that one of the notes. So far, the organization of the Islamic State commit errors, it is in normal, serious mistakes.
In December / December, the organization has hundreds of fighters in one attack east of Mosul failed, and perhaps the death toll in their ranks to 2500 that month. Overall, as the death toll from air strikes launched by coalition of about 15 thousand people since August / August 2014.
It seems they do not find it very difficult to compensate for their loss. Through this issue of the Sunni population of around 10 million people, obey the order of the organization and can take advantage of them in Syria and Iraq, most of his fighters recruited from within the organization. If under the organization of the Islamic state still exists, there will come soon a new generation of young militants.
He said Bakr connotation, who at the age of 24 years, said he did not "join the organization out of conviction."
The authorities arrested the connotation in December / December at his home in the south of Baghdad, a Sunni neighborhood on suspicion of involvement in attacks for the organization of the Islamic state car bomb targeting Shiite areas was approved Pthmth.
A picture of the meaning during his work with the organization of the State
Meaning and tells that "it works unattended construction workers in the Kurdistan region of Iraq, when the organization of the Islamic state dominated Mosul. Was detained by Kurdish security pending investigation, and in prison, he met one of the gunmen, who persuaded him to go to Mosul, where he joined the organization of the Islamic state and was standing on a checkpoint even bombed in an air strike by coalition forces. "
And then send the organization to Baghdad to help organize attacks with car bombs. It was sent vehicles loaded with explosives outside Baghdad, and his mission was to tell him to put it where the observer, and usually on the streets or in crowded markets.
He says the meaning: "Who among the five car bombs that cost the placing, did not lead a suicide bomber only one car all of them. She spoke to him, he was a young man in the second and twenty years old, believe that he goes to heaven when they die. This is the easiest and fastest way to enter paradise. They have faith firmly believe that this will happen inevitably. has brought to blow themselves up in the hope of paradise. There are those who are more of them are not in the thirties and forties. "
Meaning knew he was waiting for death penalty
He continued: "I asked the leaders more than once, is it permissible to kill women and children? And they answer, all of them either, but I did not feel comfortable at all about the killing of women and children, but once you join them, will remain stuck, even tried to evade them, they will say that you are an apostate, and they will kill you or kill your family. "
Baker realizes that he will be judged by death. I asked him if he returns his time to the back, you will do this again. Vtbasm laughing.
He said: "Of course not, I'll be out of Iraq, away from the organization of the Islamic state and the security forces. I have taken this path without realizing the consequences. It is a situation of no return. I realized that now."
But to the north in Kurdistan, there is another prisoner from the organization of the Islamic state, Muhannad Ibrahim, no regrets.
Mohannad Ibrahim, aged 32, was living in a village close to Mosul with his wife and three children, he was building for a Turkish company worker when the extension of the organization of the Islamic state influence over the city. Older in battles against US forces in the city and his two brothers were killed between 2004 and 2006. He then joined the organization of the Islamic state without hesitation and was leading a small detachment while families in the fight with the Kurds.
Abraham says: "We were oppressed Shiites, who were always humiliating us and cause us trouble. But this is not the main motivation, religious Valqnaap the most important, and all my family are religious, thank God. I joined the organization of the Islamic state my faith and religious my principles."
He continued: "If you took me back to the time back, Soslk the same way, and the oldest on the same options. I am convinced this, and to continue until the end, either to kill, or threw what God wrote to me."
Taming Mosul
Muhannad not regret joining state regulation
The defeat of the organization of the Islamic state military force not related to the extent of regulation or weakness, as they relate to imbalance in the forces lined up to meet it. The strength of the organization lies in the weakness of failed states that have left its slide into a state of "brutal" space for the organization to take root and grow.
As commander of coalition forces team Sean Makavarlnd said in February 2016, it must put Iraq and Syria in the center of attention.
He explained Makavarlnd "The campaign has three objectives: the first objective is the eradication of the primary tumor to organize the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria by destroying its power stations in Mosul and tenderness, and the second goal is to fight cancer cells arising resulting from it around the world, and the third goal is to protect our countries from any attack".
There is no doubt that air strikes by coalition forces, no matter how lethal and effective, it has its limits. There can regain land seized by the organization without coordination with coherent and with ground forces mettle high. This is the obstacle in Iraq and Syria.
Heavy fighting took place before the Ramadi that Iraqi forces expel state regulation of city
Kurds have been made in northern Iraq and Syria significant progress in defeating the organization of the Islamic State of areas which they consider under them, with the help of air strikes. But they can not expel the organization of the Islamic state from all territories under their control in the two countries, not waiting for them to do so, because they then would raise severe sensitivities among the Sunni Arab population living in areas where the extension of regulation influence.
Forces loyal to the Iraqi government to organize an Islamic state and expelled from large areas of Diyala province and the Tikrit area north of Baghdad, but this accomplishment achieved thanks to the popular crowd forces, which took the initiative to defend Baghdad and the south when making the organization the Islamic State towards the southern regions in June 2014 after Close military sectors.
However, relying on these militias in the predominantly Sunni areas risky.
At the end of 2015, it recovered control of the city of Ramadi, capital of Anbar province, western Iraq, in an attack led by government anti-terrorism forces, trained by the United States, and they had to keep the popular crowd forces for this Sunni stronghold. But anti-terrorism forces are limited in number and suffered heavy losses. And Ramadi had been completely destroyed by the fighting fled, including all its inhabitants.
But all these introductions do not bode regain control over the rest of the predominantly Sunni areas of Iraq, where he established the organization of the Islamic state feet, such as the city of Fallujah, which lies 30 miles away from Baghdad, and of course most importantly, the city of Mosul, the largest ten times Gray.
It is interesting that the chances of achieving real progress against the organization of the Islamic state may be the largest in Syria, due to the presence of hundreds of warring factions in every sense of the word, though these opportunities is strong enough.
Iraqi army prepares for a recovery operation, Mosul
An inevitable confrontation organization of the Islamic state has stimulated all involved foreign parties in Syria, including the Americans, Russians and the Allies local and regional, to throw their weight for the first time behind a truce and negotiations to reach a settlement between the rebels and the regime.
The idea and the main reasons behind this is that the full-time at the time of all parties to fight the organization of the Islamic state, to also fight to organize Front victory, in order to avoid a conflict, being a follower of the base. It may seem far-fetched, but the United States is doing its utmost to achieve the things demonstrated for five years, it defies the investigation.
If only all the parties, ie, rebels, and the Kurds, and regular troops and militias and their allies from abroad, including the Alliance and Russian forces, their differences, as much as possible, and Ouhdoa their efforts against state regulation, so perhaps it reduces the chances of survival of the organization in Syria for a longer period.
The organization of the Islamic state in Syria not only stationed in the city of Raqqa. He did not entrench his influence in the Sunni community in Syria as much as instilled in Iraq, because the Syrians aggrieved to order them multiple ways to express their discontent it.
So Valonzar moving again towards Iraq and specifically Mosul, an area ten times the area of tenderness. But this is not the only reason for their importance.
A senior Western official in northern Iraq says that "Mosul is the heart of the organization of the Islamic state the spring, but in fact, the organization of Iraqi origin Islamic state. The truth is tragic is that it has become the main Sunni political entity in Iraq at the moment. While the West is seen as it is nothing more than a group of extremists nerds, that this is not true at all. "
He continued: "This does not mean that the people of Mosul are excited about the presence of state regulation of the Islamic state, but, in their view, better than anything that comes from Baghdad."
There are reports in Baghdad and northern Iraq that the Americans are trying to launch a campaign for the restoration of Mosul by the end of 2016, taking into account the end of the presidential term of President Obama. But it may not be possible due to the difficulty of the establishment of ground forces can be relied upon, as well as having a severe financial crises affecting both Baghdad and the Kurdistan region of Iraq.
But if the campaign carried out, there are fears that turns into a short-term victory false, if already made, to a long-term disaster, in the absence of national reconciliation between Sunnis and Shiites since the sectarian violence that occurred after the overthrow of Saddam Hussein in 2003.
The indignation of the year in Iraq that if the organization of the Islamic state does not already exist, for the back of the same or Altzim unparalleled. In the absence of reconciliation, and not feeling year of empowerment and partnership in a national project, it will remain the organization of the Islamic state in Iraq, in any manner whatsoever, as is the case with the Taliban movement, which has regained its strength and its activity recently in Afghanistan in spite of all the efforts made to eradicate them.
But an Iraqi expert in extremist movements Affairs, Hisham al-Hashimi, believes that the organization of the Islamic state might incur heavy losses if the coalition has succeeded in achieving a priority one task is to kill Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.
Factional leaders have been killed before, were replaced by others, and did not mention it affects the course of history. But Hashemi believed that it varies with the killing of al-Baghdadi.
He says Hashemi, "The future organization of the Islamic state on al-Baghdadi, if killed, will be divided regulation on himself. Some will affect the completion of the march and the declaration of the establishment of a new caliphate, and some will be announced dissidents and return to join al-Qaida, others will turn to gangs of pro-faction of the strongest on the scene, whatever ".
He continued: "Al-Baghdadi is the strength in that which is the latest ideological shift, mixing between the jihadist ideas and methods of the security apparatus of the Iraqi intelligence during the rule of the Baath Party, and resulted in so structured more like a state."
Hashemi is believed that al-Baghdadi is the only person who can maintain the unity of the organization. It has picked tongues news not unfounded reports injury-Baghdadi, but it seems that he escaped death and stick to life, although it does not appear in public since his appearance at a mosque in early July 2014.
Americans will not rest until they killed al-Baghdadi, in particular, because they believe he raped himself several times Kayla Mueller, employed in US aid non-governmental organization, and then ordered to kill her in early 2015.
But even if they were able to kill him, and even if today as the organization, will not end the Sunni dilemma in Iraq.
Exploit the chaos
The organization of the Islamic state has multiple plans and alternative land can choose from. At present, Libya is the most appropriate option for statehood. Has prevailed in Libya chaos that characterizes failed states, or rather "brutal", he wants the organization, and is paving the way for the transition to the jihadists, and forge alliances with local and supporters of the former regime gunmen angry, like Iraq completely.
The organization announced the attendance to Libya usual in his own way, as it broadcast a videotape in February 2015 beheadings shows 21 factor Egyptian Copt wearing orange vests on a Libyan shores, and mingled their blood Mediterranean waters of a warning to European countries "crusade" on the opposite bank.
He believed that the man who read the warning voice is the leader of the state in Libya, an Iraqi named Wissam al-Zubaidi, and nicknamed Abu Nabil. By sheer coincidence, al-Zubeidi was killed in a US air strike on the same day that the organization carried out terrorist operations in Paris, November 13 / November, 2015.
And then send the organization a man named Abu Omar al-Janabi, to succeed al-Zubaidi, an Iraqi also was a member of the Baath Party has shot to fame for his skill to reap financial returns, and this shows that the organization puts the oil facilities in Libya in mind, given what caused raids Alliance destruction of oil fields, which it was exploited by the organization in Iraq and Syria.
And it failed the United States and allies to stop the advance of the organization of the Islamic state in Libya, which acquired vast tracts of the coast around the city of Sirte in central Libya, which was the late Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi's equally important that represented Tikrit, Saddam Hussein.
And it killed another US air raid in February Noureddine Shushan, which is rumored to be a member of the state organization responsible for the bloody attacks on Western tourists in his native Tunisia and neighboring Libya.
With few opportunities to reach a national unity government in Libya to end the fragmentation of anarchism and provide active partners there, will continue these raids by the Western powers frustrated from the faraway place, and used by insurgents as a viable way to recruit, is the maximum you can do, while hits regulation roots and expands on Libya.
Areas with factors exist which makes it fertile ground for recruiting more militants, such as Yemen, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Somalia, wherever there is powerless countries, Muslims are angry, good opportunities exist in front of the organization of the Islamic State, to compete strongly with al-Qaeda, which has dwindled and Ohunt determination, imposing himself as the strongest competitors between jihadi groups.
This is in addition to the risk-ins in front of the West, which is that this competition may be an incentive for terrorist attacks to draw attention, which is aware of the Western countries that the organization has already begun planning.
Battle to win minds
In the first eighteen months that followed the declaration of "the organization of the Islamic state," the number of foreign fighters who have flocked to Syria and Iraq to join the ranks of the Mujahideen rose dramatically.
According to the Organization estimates Sovann security consultancy in New York City the number of foreign mujahideen came to 27 thousand fighters coming from 86 countries, it descended more than half of the countries in the Middle East and North Africa.
It is clear that the idea of the caliphate was her attractive it occurred when these Mujahideen, despite the brutal operations promoted by the organization in public, and that was probably the main reason for attracting other.
And thanks to the high-skill enjoyed by members of the organization to use the Internet and social networking as a means of promoting, training and rehabilitation.
State regulation militants in Libya
After ten months of pledges by President Obama to "weaken and then destroy" the organization of the Islamic state "in the end," Obama acknowledged in tone Akedzaha regret that the organization of the Islamic state "managed to effectively reach the people easily lure them from around the world, even within the United States, They managed to recruit them, and now aims to organize Muslim communities in the entire world. "
The president recognized the challenge faced by the president, a far more serious compared to the job left a regulation defeat militarily. Obama said: "I do not defeat the ideologies of arms, but defeated the best ideas, no vision more appealing and convincing."
Overfishing and violence
The problem is that when you are frustrated in the region, people look around them, especially young people, or those who are pursuing to achieve ideal goals, or unemployed Aleghantin of the advent of a better tomorrow, not pleased, but very little of the "best ideas" or visions attractive and persuasive .
All they see is the ruins of the "Arab Spring", which suspended him high hopes but it's just that cruelly shattered.
Regimes dictatorship savage corrupt, which received a strong slap in the face of the "Arab Spring", either fragmentation and slipped into the abyss of chaos and sectarian, tribal and turmoil, as is the case in Syria, Libya, Yemen, Iraq (intervention west), or returned them again "deep state", which was Ttsenmha systems the former, and perhaps become even harsher than before, as is the case in Egypt, or more smoothly, as is the case in Tunisia.
While received this call resonated with a lot of European jihadists from other causes, the social and economic factors played an important role in motivating some Arab jihadis to pursue extremism, and did not address these factors to stimulate continued to pursue a more extremism.
The organization of the Islamic state: What are the factors that attract young Europeans?
And it rounded the large numbers of foreign fighters joined the ranks of the Islamic state of Tunisia, where a detailed opinion on the poorest in the capital suburbs poll showed that the radicalization of young people in those areas is not due to radical Islamic ideology as far back as unemployment, marginalization, and the collision truth in the aftermath of the revolution held by all the hopes and dreams, but they did not reap anything from it and were disappointed.
I have had the rare opportunity to take a close look at the nature of the people who volunteer in the ranks of state regulation, while the means of European media published in the March / March, a group believed to be You "secret" to organize the Islamic state contain personal data for those who have been recruited.
And reveal the data recorded between 2013 and 2014 the identity coming from 40 countries, at least the members, and includes names, addresses, and phone numbers, and skills, which represents a treasure trove of information for intelligence agencies that are trying to track down and prosecute citizens have joined the organization.
The organization also filled a void behind him collapse of all political ideologies that have raised the ire of the dreamers change in the Arab world over the decades. Many of them have been used to travel to the Soviet Union to receive training and higher education, but communism is seen as the idea had not borne the desired fruit.
And it turned socialism and nationalism, which only Arab Ohalta enthusiasm of many in the fifties and sixties of the last century, to the "republics" brutal and corrupt children, where he was preparing to inherit from their parents judgment.
In that vacuum, taking the organization of the Islamic state on the responsibility for the West to punish all those who do not fall under its banner for what they have done work in the region over the last century:
- The division of the colonial powers of the land 100 years ago, Plotter boundary between Iraq and Syria, and the organization of the Islamic state Mahah currently.
- The emergence of the State of Israel under the British Mandate for Palestine, and US support her as politically and financially after the length of the line.
- Support of the West, especially Russia, Arab regimes corrupt and authoritarian.
- The invasion of the West and the destruction of Iraq, citing feel sorry for the arguments, which resulted in the deaths of thousands and thousands of Iraqis
- The scandals of abuse of prisoners at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo.
Stem the roots of the organization of the Islamic state of crisis of understanding of the Islamic religion.
President Obama said "the organization of the Islamic state not an Islamist," echoing statements reported by the tongues of many Western leaders, saying "the organization of the Islamic state has nothing to do with Islam."
However, the organization of the Islamic state has to do with Islam.
He says Ahmad Moussalli, professor of political science at the American University in Beirut, "is based on the organization of the Islamic state into an Islamic texts, but they re-interpreted to agree their own vision to it. I'm not saying they do not derive their ideas of the Islamic impact, this denial of the facts, but rather interpret things explanation unusual, sometimes the explanation literally, is very similar to the Wahhabi interpretation of an end. "
And disagreed Hisham al-Hashimi, an expert on militant groups.
He says al-Hashemi said that "violent extremism pursued by the organization of the Islamic state, groups of jihadist Salafism is warranted, and even blessed in Islamic texts which rely on the organization of the Islamic State extremist groups. It is religious discourse crisis, not a barbaric group crisis. The religious discourse analysis and put it on the track right the most important stages of the suppression of the extremist terrorist groups militarily. "
Because the ancient texts may be interpreted by extremists to find an excuse to cover up their atrocities, this does not necessarily offend the entire religion, just as Christianity does not boil down to the Inquisition, which was designed to fight heresy, where the death penalty was burned unusual punishment.
It remains extremist ideas sitting in the dark side of history and forgotten until the time comes, and now is the time has come for the organization of the Islamic state out into the light, with what happened in Afghanistan and Iraq and all subsequent events.
Moseley says: "Salafist hit rampant. In the whole world, from Afghanistan, through Pakistan to the Arab countries."
And disqualify Mouselly Bldg. blamed the Saudis because they have performed and democratic moderate Islam in its infancy, and is intended to "alternative" of Salafism, who wants President Obama to see the Islamic discourse.
He said Musli "moderate Islamic model at the present time is the form taken by the Muslim Brotherhood, which has ruled the Gulf states supporting the authorities in Egypt," in reference to the overthrow of the Egyptian army elected president Mohamed Morsi, who belongs to the Muslim Brotherhood, in July 2013 after mass protests against his rule.
He continued: "We have lost this opportunity in Egypt. It was possible that Egypt will pave the way for real change in the region, but Saudi Arabia stood barrier to happen slyly and cunningly adults, and wiped out all the chances to change the Arab regimes to become more democratic and accept the peaceful transition of power. The Saudis do not want it. "
Reference Dinh Wahhabi entrenched in the ongoing militancy and spread has raised doubts about its relationship with extremist groups abroad. Vihmha its enemies and critics of being responsible for the production of mischievous and violent Wahhabi model, derives extremists from their ideas, but also the support and accuse the organization of the Islamic State and other militant Salafist groups.
But he says Jamal Khashoggi, a prominent Saudi journalist writer, spent time in Afghanistan and he knew bin Laden, this is simply not true.
He said: "We are fighting a war with the organization of the Islamic state, which considers us Wahhabis corrupt."
He continued: "The organization of the Islamic state is a form of Wahhabism, which suppress here since the thirties of the last century, but returned to the fore once again surrounded the Grand Mosque in Mecca in 1979 and has spread here and there. However, Saudi Arabia has never supported, but as long as deemed it represents a threat to the country. therefore, it is true that the GSPC has been taking a hard turn just as the American right may result in some fanatical lunatics, ".
Hundreds have been killed after a siege that lasted over two weeks while armed militants seized the Grand Mosque in Mecca.
Attacks for the organization of the Islamic state has recently targeted Saudi security forces and the Shiite minority in Saudi Arabia, the Kingdom has carried out death sentences against militants detainees. Saudi Arabia and adopt an effective program to rehabilitate extremists.
But Khashoggi agrees that the UK was committed "grave mistake while supported the overthrow of President Morsi and the subsequent suppression of the movement, it would pay the political Islam pushed into the arms of the militants."
Khashoggi said: "I did not raise the images to organize an Islamic state nor bin Laden and al-Qaida in Tahrir Square. It was an opportunity for the democratic transformation of the Middle East, but we made a historic folly, we are all paying the price now."
But because of what pursued by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia from the direction of the governor excessively, and their hatred for democracy, has become a major target of calls for the implementation of the reform process, it may be far-fetched, within the Islamic religion as an integral part of the battle against al-Islamic state and other extremist groups.
A senior Sunni politicians in Iraq, says: "We must accept the fact that there is a crisis within the Islamic religion."
He added that "the organization of the Islamic state did not come from a vacuum. So look to the roots, people and goals. The did not address the roots Sastvhal situation is becoming more serious. We must eradicate the whole world to organize an Islamic state, but it should reach a new deal, it is to reform in Saudi Arabia and Afghanistan and the Al-Azhar. "
He continued: "You can not kill all the Muslims, you need to be an Islamic reform. However, Saudi Arabia and Qatar money discreetly votes to make us stand still do not appreciate anything. It's a curse befell the Arab world, a lot of oil and a lot of money."
Regional competition
Ameri, leader of the Badr Organization, says "Without Iran, the democratic experiment in Iraq ended in failure."
Tomorrow organization Islamic state in the heart of the ideas and visions rival in the region, a strategic geopolitical conflict in the region, race or nations, in the wake of the dissolution of Syria and Iraq.
While ripping the coalition led by the United States of Iraq in 2003, broke the wall that was the way of Iran, the majority Shiite power in the region, he sees the Saudis Almighty partners from the Gulf states stands year they have come to represent a threat to them since the Islamic revolution in 1979.
Iran has for years been supporting Iraqi Shiite factions opposing Saddam Hussein in exile. And the empowerment of the Shiite majority in Iraq after 2003, through these groups, it has become Iran's unparalleled effect on the Iraqi political.
This has resulted in the organization of the threat posed by the emergence of the Islamic state to increase the Iranian infiltration by arming the popular forces that swept the crowd for the defense of Baghdad and the south, training and directing.
Says Hadi al-Ameri, the leader of the Badr Organization backed by Iran, one of the largest militant groups "Without Iran, ended the experiment of democracy in Iraq failure."
He continued: "Obama was covered asleep and did not wake up only when the organization of the Islamic State reached the outskirts of Irbil, said he did not do anything. Without Iranian support, it would have the entire Gulf region, not only Iraq, under the control of the organization of the Islamic state."
Saudi Arabia and its allies believes that Iranian infiltration in Iraq threatens the establishment of "Shia arc," linking Iran, Iraq and Syria, ruled by the Alawite minority, and Lebanon under the hegemony of Hezbollah.
Since the outbreak of the war in Syria, to support the Saudis and their partners in the Gulf states, Turkey, the Sunni opposition, hoping to lead the overthrow of the Assad regime to establish the rule of the Sunni majority.
And then, it will direct the Sunni axis extending from north to south from Turkey through Syria to Jordan and Saudi Arabia decisive blow to the influence of Iran, as they see.
This is what the organization of the Islamic State, to a large extent, in 2014, when he returned to Iraq, who controlled the Mosul and most Sunni areas of the country, and established a Sunni entity that includes the boundary between Iraq and Syria, which suddenly became inappropriate, with Syria, to act as a barrier separating parts Shiite from Iraq for Syria.
Had the organization of the Islamic state might stop at this point and cemented his feet, it was Sazhzha from his place? If it does not launch an attack on the Kurds, the Americans would intervene. If Russian passenger plane did not fall, and none carried the Paris attacks, he stepped up to Russia and France to organize their military operations against the Islamic state.
Moseley says, "if I never become global terrorists, and they have remained an internal terrorist acts, they would have helped in the implementation of the original agenda, which aims to divide the Levant."
Probably we will never know did they make these acts. Perhaps the aggressive form of the Salafist continue to move without interruption, in order to continue and expand.
Is it possible that the retracted position and settled in the "state" (ie, call it an Islamic state), and stop antagonizing the people around them, that they meet then accepted by the people, as was the case with Iran, after they witnessed the massive revolution and international isolation?
This is unlikely to happen, for the same motives, which is that they are the ones who have taken to escalate the steps in the first place, and even if the organization of the Islamic state wanted to retreat, the Americans have resolved to take this path, they have proven that they are determined to prosecute the organization of the Islamic state without uncompromising response to the terrorist attacks.
But what is the alternative then? In the presence of a problem in assembling a highly efficient ground forces, is it possible that the crowd troops backed by Iran to Mosul and the Syrian regime forces backed by Iran, Russia or other groups such as the Kurds on the tenderness, the Americans controlled the knowledge and involvement? Will hit the enmity of Americans to organize an Islamic state led them opting to watch the Iranians expound upon Nfdhuhm in logic? Will the Saudis and the Turks would agree on that?
There are no definitive answers to any of the challenges posed by the organization of the Islamic state in all aspects of the crisis gathered by state regulation in the tangled relationship.
That has been an enduring state regulation.

Part2

CJ

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