21/10/2026
SUPER TYPHOON ROSAL MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH WHILE MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE SEA EAST OF NORTHERN LUZON.
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 5
Super Typhoon ROSAL (CHAMPI)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 21 October 2026
Location of Center (10:00 AM)
The center of the eye of Super Typhoon ROSAL was estimated based on all available data at 845 km East of Northern Luzon.
Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 215 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 265 km/h, and central pressure of 900 hPa.
Present Movement
West northwestward at 25 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 780 km from the center.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 2
➣ Wind threat: Gale-force winds
➣ Warning lead time: 24 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
LUZON:
Batanes
TCWS No. 1
➣ Wind threat: Strong winds
➣ Warning lead time: 36 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
LUZON:
Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, the eastern portion of Isabela (Maconacon, Divilacan, Palanan, Santa Maria, Cabagan, Delfin Albano, Santo Tomas, Tumauini, San Pablo, Ilagan City, San Mariano, Dinapigue), Ilocos Norte, Apayao, and the northeastern portion of Catanduanes (Pandan, Bagamanoc, Panganiban, Viga, Gigmoto)
➣ Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The highest Wind Signal that may be raised during the passage of ROSAL is Wind Signal No. 2 or 3.
The Northeasterly Windflow and the periphery of ROSAL will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
• Today (21 October): Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Bicol Region, Romblon, Eastern Visayas, Siquijor, Bohol, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Davao Region, Aurora and Sarangani.
• Tomorrow (22 October): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Northern Mindanao, Agusan del Norte, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Sarangani, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental.
• Friday (23 October): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• ROSAL will continue moving west northwestward today, then northwestward tomorrow (22 October). It will begin to turn north northwestward by Friday (23 October) before recurving northeastward by Sunday (25 October). On the forecast track, the tropical cyclone will be closest to Extreme Northern Luzon between tomorrow and Friday afternoon. It will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Friday evening or Saturday (24 October) early morning.
• ROSAL is currently at its peak intensity. A weakening trend is expected to begin this afternoon and evening until it gradually weakens into a typhoon by tomorrow and into a severe tropical storm by Sunday.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials.
(Source: DOST PAGASA)
