20/06/2026
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 2
Severe Tropical Storm (MEKKHALA)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 21 June 2026
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO FURTHER INTENSIFIES WHILE MOVING OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA.
Location of Center (4:00 AM):
The center of Severe Tropical Storm FRANCISCO was estimated based on all available data at 1,315 km East of Southeastern Luzon (14.8°N, 133.9°E).
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 125 km/h, and central pressure of 985 hPa.
Present Movement:
West northwestward at 25 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to storm-force winds extend outwards up to 420 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
No Wind Signal is currently hoisted
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
FRANCISCO is less likely to directly affect the weather conditions in the country today. However, onset of heavy rains due to the Southwest Monsoon and FRANCISCO is possible beginning tomorrow (22 June). A Weather Advisory may be issued today in anticipation of the heavy rains over Northern Luzon and some areas in the western portions of Luzon and Visayas.
Severe Winds
Based on the latest forecast track, Wind Signal No.1 may be hoisted in some localities in Cagayan, Babuyan Islands, and Batanes by tomorrow morning.
The Southwest Monsoon will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
• Today: Siquijor, Camiguin, and the southern portions of Davao Oriental, Davao Occidental, and Sarangani.
• Tomorrow (22 June): Romblon, most of Visayas, Basilan, Sulu, Zamboanga Peninsula, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, and the southern portion of Davao Oriental.
• Tuesday (23 June): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, northern portions of Cagayan and Apayao, Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan, Aurora, most of Southern Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.0 m: The eastern seaboards of Catanduanes, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, Siargao-Bucas Grande Islands, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Oriental; the eastern and southern seaboards of Davao Occidental.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• FRANCISCO will likely remain over the Philippine Sea throughout the forecast period. However, a closer approach to Extreme Northern Luzon is not ruled out should the forecast track continue to shift westward. FRANCISCO will move west northwestward until Tuesday (23 June), then it will decelerate as it moves generally northward for the rest of the forecast period.
• This tropical cyclone will continue to intensify and may reach typhoon category today. As it moves over the Philippine Sea, it will further intensify until it reaches its peak intensity likely by Monday (22 June) or Tuesday. Thereafter, a weakening trend is expected.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 AM today.
DOST-PAGASA
https://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin
