20/10/2026
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 1
Super Typhoon (CHAMPI)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 20 October 2026
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.
SUPER TYPHOON CHAMPI OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY IS GIVEN THE LOCAL NAME “ROSAL” AS WIND SIGNAL NO. 1 IS NOW HOISTED OVER SEVERAL AREAS IN NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN LUZON.
• Location of Center (10:00 AM)
The center of the eye of Super Typhoon ROSAL was estimated based on all available data at 1,385 km East of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) (16.1°N, 135.1°E).
• Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 230 km/h, and central pressure of 940 hPa
• Present Movement
West Northwestward at 25 km/h
• Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 720 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS #1
Wind threat: Strong winds
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
- Batanes, the eastern portion of Babuyan Islands (Babuyan Is., Camiguin Is., Didicas Is.), the eastern portion of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana, Gonzaga, Lal-Lo, Santa Teresita, Camalaniugan, Aparri, Buguey, Gattaran, Baggao, Peñablanca), the northeastern portion of Isabela (Maconacon, Divilacan, Palanan, San Pablo, Cabagan, Santa Maria, Tumauini, Ilagan City), and the northeastern portion of Catanduanes (Pandan, Bagamanoc, Panganiban, Viga, Gigmoto)
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
A weather advisory may be issued this afternoon in anticipation of the heavy rains due to TC ROSAL.
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The highest Wind Signal that may be raised during the passage of ROSAL is Wind Signal No. 2 or 3.
The Northeasterly Windflow and the periphery of ROSAL will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
• Today: Batanes, Ilocos Norte, Cagayan, Isabela, Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, most of Caraga, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, Sarangani, Davao del Sur, and Davao Occidental
• Tomorrow (21 October): Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Polillo Islands, Bicol Region, Romblon, Eastern Visayas, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Occidental, Siquijor, Bohol, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Davao Region, Sarangani, and Zamboanga del Norte.
• Thursday (22 October): Most of the country.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning may be issued this afternoon or evening over the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Southern Luzon.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.5 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes.
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The seaboard of Isabela; the eastern seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and mainland Cagayan; the northern seaboards of Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar and Eastern Samar.
• Up to 3.5 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; the remaining seaboard of Batanes.
• Up to 3.0 m: The seaboards of Aurora and northern Quezon; the eastern seaboards of Dinagat Islands and Siargao-Bucas Grande Island Group; the remaining seaboards of Cagayan and Camarines Norte.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboard of Surigao del Sur; the eastern seaboard of Davao Oriental; the remaining seaboard of Catanduanes.
• Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Surigao del Norte, and Davao Occidental; the northern and eastern seaboards of Quezon; the southern seaboard of Davao Oriental; the remaining northern and eastern seaboards of Camarines Sur; the remaining seaboards of Polillo Islands, Dinagat Islands, and Siargao-Bucas Grande Island Group.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• Super Typhoon ROSAL will generally move west northwestward until tomorrow (21 October) before moving generally northwestward until Friday (23 October) morning. On Friday afternoon, ROSAL will begin to turn north northwestward to northward until it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Friday evening or Saturday (24 October) early morning.
• ROSAL is forecast to maintain its strength as Super Typhoon and further intensification remains possible while it moves over the Philippine Sea. It is forecast to weaken into a Typhoon on Thursday and may further weaken into a Severe Tropical Storm on Saturday evening or Sunday (25 October) morning while outside PAR due to unfavorable environment.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Link: tinyurl.com/tropical-cyclone-bulletin
