11/08/2026
If you watched the coverage this week, you would think Republicans just took the worst beating in American history.
They didn't, and the record book proves it.
Losing seats in a midterm is about as close to a law of nature as American politics gets. Since 1938, the party holding the White House has lost House seats in 21 of 23 midterms, counting Tuesday.
Every big number on this list has a story behind it.
FDR lost 79 seats in Congress in 1938 after his court-packing scheme blew up and the economy slid back into recession. Truman lost 68 in 1946, when voters were sick of postwar inflation, strikes and empty meat counters, and Republicans ran on the slogan "Had enough?"
Eisenhower was a beloved war hero and still lost 61 in 1958. Clinton lost 62 in 1994 after Hillarycare and a big tax hike. Obama lost 69 in 2010 after ramming through Obamacare.
Now look at Tuesday. With a handful of races still being counted, Republicans have lost more than 40 House seats and at least seven in the Senate.
That stings, and nobody should pretend otherwise. Still, five presidents in the modern era took a worse beating, and Trump's closest historical match took a far worse one.
Grover Cleveland is the only other president to serve two non-consecutive terms. In his second-term midterm in 1894, his party lost 125 House seats.
The experts saw this coming, too. In September, the American Presidency Project at UC Santa Barbara projected Republicans would lose about 43 House seats and 12 Senate seats. The House landed right around that number, and the Senate losses came in under it.
So call Tuesday what it is, the same midterm toll nearly every president pays, and a smaller one than some of the most celebrated presidents in history paid.
Where do you think Tuesday really ranks, a historic wipeout or a normal midterm the media is blowing out of proportion?