10/23/2026
"About 5.5 million people lost food assistance through SNAP in the year since enactment of the 2025 reconciliation law. This includes about 2 million children, who were not targeted by the law’s eligibility restrictions.
"The drop in SNAP participation and spending is considerably more than the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicted... The most likely reason for the larger-than-expected cut is the impact of the 2025 reconciliation law shifting enormous new SNAP costs to states, which they owe starting in fiscal year 2028. CBO estimated the cost shift mandate would have no impact until 2028. But it has already led many states to erect barriers to people’s SNAP participation, such as more paperwork and other requirements that states often don’t have the staff to administer.
"The reconciliation law granted a few states a two-year delay for this harmful cost shift. Congress should extend the delay to all states before the end of the year, given SNAP losses outpacing predictions and the high cost of groceries and other basic needs."
The outsized drops suggest that people not ostensibly targeted by the 2025 reconciliation law’s eligibility restrictions are losing SNAP anyway. That includes many children, seniors, and people with disabilities.