10/09/2026
FRIDAY WEATHER UPDATE SCOTT & NEWTON COUNTIES, October 9, Based on the 10 a.m. NHC advisory and 10:08 a.m. NWS Jackson statement
Isaias is now a CATEGORY 3 hurricane with sustained winds of 120 mph. The center is moving north-northeast at 16 mph and is expected to reach the western Florida Panhandle coast THIS EVENING. The forecast has changed: NHC now expects Isaias to remain at or near major hurricane strength at landfall. Please don’t count on the earlier weakening forecast to make this storm harmless.
WHAT THIS MEANS FOR OUR AREA
Newton County remains under a Tropical Storm Watch. Scott County is not included in that watch in the latest NWS Jackson statement. Lake FD serves BOTH counties, and we are watching our entire service area. The center is still forecast to pass east of us and move north through Alabama. The greatest Mississippi impacts are expected generally across eastern and southeastern portions of the state. For our area, the concerns are gusty winds, broken limbs, downed trees, possible power outages, and periods of rain that could cause localized flooding. Tropical storm force winds remain possible across portions of eastern and southeastern Mississippi. NWS also notes gusty winds are possible elsewhere across central Mississippi on Saturday. Those 120 mph sustained winds are near the hurricane’s center. They are NOT the forecast for Lake, Scott County or Newton County.
PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES
The storm will move inland quickly, carrying damaging winds beyond the coast while it weakens. Its wind field has expanded: tropical storm force winds now extend outward up to 205 miles from the center, although not equally far in every direction. NWS Jackson lists possible scattered power and communications outages across eastern and southeastern Mississippi. Charge phones and battery packs now, have flashlights ready, and make a backup plan for anyone who depends on electricity-powered medical equipment. Stay away from downed lines and anything touching them. Report routine outages to your electric provider; call 911 for an immediate emergency.
WHY DIDN’T THE WIND SHEAR WEAKEN IT?
The stronger wind shear arrived, but it has not disrupted Isaias enough to stop its strengthening. NHC says the shear is nearly aligned with the storm’s movement, reducing its effects, while conditions higher in the atmosphere are helping the hurricane ventilate. The high pressure ridge to the east and the upper level trough to the west have been steering the storm northward between them. The old frontal boundary is not a barrier that keeps hurricane weather away from us. Weakening is expected after landfall, but damaging winds can continue well inland during that process.
DON’T USE THE CONE AS A SAFETY LINE
Scott and Newton counties remain west of the forecast center. The greatest tornado threat is expected east of the center, particularly across the Florida Panhandle into southern Georgia, spreading farther inland Saturday. Being west of the track does not eliminate wind or rain impacts. The cone shows uncertainty in the CENTER’S path, not the full reach of hazardous weather. A shift of even 100 miles can change who gets the worst conditions and 100 miles is an example, not a limit. Keep weather alerts on tonight and Saturday. NWS expects conditions to gradually improve from south to north into Saturday evening.
FOR OUR COASTAL FRIENDS
Life threatening storm surge and extremely dangerous winds are expected in the coastal warning areas. Surge could reach 6 to 9 feet above ground from the Alabama Florida border to Grayton Beach where peak surge coincides with high tide. Follow evacuation instructions from local officials and have a safe place to shelter. Prepare for extended power outages.
PLEASE DO NOT BURN
Hold off on burning fields, brush piles and yard debris. We have been dry, and rain in the forecast is not rain that has already fallen. Gusty winds can turn a manageable fire into one you cannot control. Cooler temperatures do not make dry grass safe to burn. Please enjoy the fall weather without setting your fields on fire.
Before conditions worsen:
âś… Secure outdoor furniture, trash cans, decorations and other loose items.
âś… Charge phones and check flashlights.
âś… Check on neighbors who may need help.
âś… Keep generators outdoors, at least 20 feet from doors, windows and vents.
âś… Never drive through flooded roads.
âś… Avoid unnecessary travel during strong winds or heavy rain.
Stay prepared and follow NWS Jackson and emergency management updates.
Assistant Chief Landon Devoter
Lake Volunteer Fire Department