05/10/2026
Mother's Day Weather Forecast: Wet South, Sunny West
May 10, 2026 at 6:33 AM
Mother's Day weather across the country will vary from a threat of soaking rain and storms in parts of the South, to sunshine and perfect temperatures in other areas and one region searing in triple-digit heat.
Let's start out with a rating scale for a few cities across the country Sunday, shown in the map below.
Dark green starred cities should have near perfect weather to spend outside with your mom. Those cities in orange, well, you may just want to focus on your brunch or dinner plans, as the weather may be a bit less than ideal to spend much of the day outside.
Who Will Be Wet?
A frontal system will be sliding through the South and East, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected ahead of it during the day. Areas in darker green in the map below have the highest chance of these scattered showers and storms.
In most of those areas, this shouldn't be an "all-day rain," so there will be some dry hours here and there.
There will be a few strong to severe storms late in the day from Texas to Louisiana, Arkansas and southern Oklahoma. Notably, around Dallas, you might want to pick another day to take mom out for dinner, but lunch might be ok.
In much of the western half of the country from the upper Midwest, Northern Plains to the West Coast, we expect Mother's Day to be mainly dry. And, for now, we expect most rain to hold off during the day along most of the Northeast coast, including Boston and New York City.
Temperatures
First, take a look at some of the pleasant high temperatures forecast from the central Plains to the Rockies and Northwest. You can't ask for better than 70s for your mom, right?
There are a few places that may be stubbornly cool. Even if rain stays away, a northeast breeze off the lake and more clouds than sun could keep the western Great Lakes cool.
Meanwhile, highs will likely get above 90 degrees in Miami. But it's the Great Basin and Southwest that will be hotter than usual for the second weekend of May.
Phoenix could top out between 105 and 110 degrees, and daily record highs are possible from California into Nevada and southern Idaho. In these areas, you may want to spend your time outside early in the day, not in the afternoon.
As far as humidity is concerned, it will be somewhat muggy in the Deep South, but not oppressively so. Humidity will be at comfortable levels in most of the rest of the country on Mother's Day.
Jonathan Erdman is a senior meteorologist at weather.com and has been covering national and international weather since 1996. Extreme and bizarre weather are his favorite topics. Reach out to him on Bluesky, X (formerly Twitter) and Facebook.
Jonathan Erdman
The Weather Channel and weather.com provide a national and local weather forecast for cities, as well as weather radar, report and hurricane coverage
